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Excessive Inflation Prevents Fed's Decision to Cut Rates, Market Worries Warm Up

Fed Chairman Powell stated that recent inflation data exceeding expectations may delay rate cuts, exacerbating market concerns about economic slowdown.

Fed Chairman Powell stated that recent inflation data exceeding expectations may delay rate cuts, exacerbating market concerns about economic slowdown.

Surpassing Expectations: Powell noted at a Washington Q&A session that inflation data over the past three months has consistently exceeded expectations, denting the Fed's confidence in inflation returning to target levels.

Adjustment in Rate Cut Outlook: Initially anticipated by the market before summer, precautionary rate cuts might be delayed due to persistently high inflation. Powell emphasized the Fed's readiness to implement rate cuts if a sharp economic slowdown occurs.

Market Reactions: Following Powell's remarks, the S&P 500 index experienced a slight decline, with investors selling US Treasuries, leading to higher bond yields. The 2-year Treasury yield reached 5% for the first time since November last year.

Risks of Economic Slowdown: While the Fed may implement rate cuts before a significant economic slowdown, once a recession has begun, rate cuts often struggle to halt economic decline.

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