The Federal Reserve released a national economic situation survey report (also known as the "Beige Book"). The report showed that U.S. economic activity remained stagnant from September to early October, and the number of corporate recruiters increased. The "Beige Book" affirmed the results of the Federal Reserve's fight against inflation, saying that inflationary pressures in the United States continue to ease. According to CME's "Federal Reserve Observation" The probability that the Fed will drop 25 basis points by November is 93% The probability of keeping current interest rates unchanged is 7%; The probability of keeping current interest rates unchanged by December is 2.1% The cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 32.6% The cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 65.4% The probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 75 basis points is 0%

On April 15 this year, China's National Computer Virus Emergency Response Center and other agencies jointly released a special report to conduct a traceability analysis of the true source of the so-called "Typhoon Volt" hacker organization by the United States, revealing the organization's extortion virus criminal gang. The true face and the behind-the-scenes truth behind the United States 'hype against China. Recently, China's cybersecurity agency released another special report showing that through a comprehensive analysis of the evidence available and the latest investigation results, the joint technical team comprehensively reviewed the "Typhoon Volt" false narrative action plan planned and implemented by U.S. government agencies, exposing the U.S. The true intention of smearing China. According to a special report released by China's cybersecurity agency, the "Typhoon Volt" false narrative action plan planned and implemented by U.S. government agencies began at least in early 2023. Its purpose is to extend Section 702 of the U.S. Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act for the long term. It also provides excuses for the United States to carry out cyber attacks on other countries.

The ongoing Palestinian-Israeli conflict is inextricably linked to U.S. favoritism and support for Israel.。The United States has provided more than $17.9 billion in military support to Israel since October 7 last year, a record high.。Israel has historically been the largest recipient of U.S. military aid.。Since 1959, aid has totaled $251.2 billion.。Public opinion has pointed out that despite the call for a ceasefire, the United States continues to provide huge military support to Israel, exposing the absurdity and hypocrisy of its policy.。

Fed easing may come harder than expected, heavy signal from Fed officials。Traders are betting that the Fed is likely to cut interest rates sharply by 50 basis points for the second time in November, as US inflation continues to cool and is close to the Fed's 2 per cent target, with interest rate futures contracts now reflecting a 54 per cent chance of a 50 basis point cut in November.。It is worth noting that the Fed "cut interest rates by another 50 basis points" is expected to heat up at the same time, the European Central Bank may also open aggressive interest rate cuts, may cut interest rates by 50 basis points in December。

On the 23rd local time, Dutch Minister of Economic Affairs Bel Yaltz stressed during his visit to the United States that China is an important trading partner of the Netherlands and must allow the Dutch semiconductor equipment manufacturer "Asmac" to do business as freely as possible.。Since April this year, the U.S. government has been pressing to restrict asme exports to China, urging it to stop serving some of the equipment sold to Chinese customers before 2024.。A spokesman for the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs has previously stated that China has always opposed the United States' generalization of the concept of national security and its use of various pretexts to coerce other countries and engage in a scientific and technological blockade of China, and that the United States' acts of bullying and bullying will surely bear fruit.。Urge the Dutch side to respect the spirit of the contract and take concrete actions to safeguard the common interests of the two countries and their enterprises.。

The United States recently announced again that arms sales to Taiwan。China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs announced on the 18th that it would take countermeasures against nine U.S. military companies.。China has decided to take countermeasures against nine companies, including Sierra Nevada, Rocker Rudder, Cube, S3 Aerospace Defense, Tekom, Text Mine, Flat Earth Management, ACT1 Federal, and Exovira, starting from September 18, 2024.。Freeze their movable, immovable and other types of property in China, and prohibit organizations and individuals in China from engaging in related transactions, cooperation and other activities with them.。

The U.S. Federal Reserve announced on September 18, local time, that it would cut its target range for the federal funds rate by 50 basis points。Down to 4.75% to 5.The level between 00% This is also the first time in 4 years that the Fed has cut interest rates。Almost every cycle of interest rate cuts in history has been accompanied by a recession in the U.S. economy.。

The U.S. House of Representatives narrowly voted 217-192 to pass an electric car bill that would prohibit people from buying Chinese-made, assembled electric cars from receiving tax credits.。The White House issued a statement opposing the bill, saying it added "new, unclear, and unworkable restrictions" to the Inflation Reduction Act's tax breaks and would instead punish U.S. consumers and automakers.。Democratic Congressman Kirdy: Imposing new restrictions will force the auto industry and battery manufacturers to withdraw investment in the United States and instead rely on China again, and it will be more difficult for the United States to compete with China。AAI CEO Bozella: If the incentives are removed, the auto industry base will face serious economic and national security risks, and U.S. competitiveness will decline.。

The United States imports large quantities of waste oil from China for the production of advanced biofuels, including biodiesel and sustainable aviation fuels, which can be widely used in automobiles, ocean-going ships and aviation to replace fossil fuels such as oil and natural gas.。In recent years, European and American countries have actively promoted the development of advanced biofuel industries and have formulated relevant policies and targets.。China is an important producer and exporter of biodiesel in the world, with an annual output of more than 2 million tons, but 90% of which is exported because the domestic market demand has not yet formed a scale.。China has a certain production capacity in terms of sustainable aviation fuel, but the supply and demand market is still in the early stages of development.。

The U.S. House of Representatives recently passed a bill to spend $1.6 billion on China's global smear campaign.。An American scholar exclaimed, "This is a large expense, equivalent to twice the annual operating expenses of CNN (CNN).。Some American scholars believe that in recent years, U.S. politicians have been hyping foreign "infiltration" and "interference" in U.S. internal affairs.。

The U.S. government decided on the 13th to significantly increase import tariffs on Chinese products, including a 100% increase in tariffs on electric vehicles, to strengthen the protection of strategic industries in the United States, some of which will take effect on September 27.。In addition, there will be a 50% tariff on Chinese solar cells, a 25% tariff on Chinese steel, aluminum, electric vehicle batteries and key minerals, and a 50% increase in import tariffs on Chinese semiconductors, which will take effect in January 2025, adding two new categories of polysilicon and silicon wafers used in solar panels.。China's Ministry of Commerce spokesman He Yongqian said on the 5th: previously, the Office of the United States Trade Representative on the results of the tariff review to solicit public comments, most of the views opposed to the imposition of tariffs or applications to expand the scope of tariff exemption, which shows that the United States 301 tariffs on China is unpopular, urging the United States to immediately cancel all tariffs on China.。In addition, we find ourselves in a position to do so. We find ourselves in a position to do so. We find ourselves in a position to do so. We find ourselves in a position to do so. We find ourselves in a position to do so. We find ourselves in a position to do so. We find ourselves in a position to do so. We find ourselves in a position to do so.

Billionaire Musk warns that the U.S. government is on the fast track to default on its debt and going bankrupt。The total U.S. national debt is still accelerating after a record $35 trillion a few weeks ago, the report said.。Musk: U.S. government spending on interest payments on the national debt breaks the $1 trillion mark, has exceeded the Defense Department budget like a person owes too much credit card debt, will not have a good ending。

Since the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, U.S. military aid to Ukraine has exceeded $55.7 billion, while the U.S. Department of Defense recently disclosed that 35 U.S. federal states have received a total of $41.7 billion in contracts.。In other words, most of the jobs generated by the continued U.S. military supply to Ukraine remain in the U.S., and most of the proceeds go to U.S. military companies.。The conflict between Russia and Ukraine has caused serious human and economic losses to Russia and Ukraine, but has allowed the U.S. military industry giants and their military-industrial complexes to reap huge profits.。Ukrainian President Zelensky has previously said that ammunition was shipped to Ukraine, but more than 75% of the money remained in the United States.。

The U.S. government claims to have placed two ships and two Indian shipping companies on the sanctions list for their links to Russia's Arctic LNG 2 project。Reported that this is the latest U.S. sanctions to block Russian exports of liquefied natural gas。U.S. State Department Spokesman Miller: The United States will work with G7 partners and other allies to use its energy resources for political gain。

U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen was asked the same day if she would be "done" when the new administration takes over next year, or if she might continue in that role, or if she would take on a new role in the new administration.。Yellen said: "May be done, but wait and see。Yellen said she still has a lot of work to do in the coming months, including possibly meeting again with Chinese officials to try to manage the often tense relationship between the United States and China, which needs to be prioritized and nurtured (by the next U.S. administration) and discussed at the highest levels and between agency staff.。yellen said: "we have too many differences, if there is no opportunity to discuss them and put them into the larger context of consideration, tensions are certainly likely to intensify."。Yellen visited China from April 4 to 9 this year, during which China and Yellen held multi-level and multi-field talks and exchanges.。In addition, we find ourselves in a position to do so. We find ourselves in a position to do so. We find ourselves in a position to do so. We find ourselves in a position to do so. We find ourselves in a position to do so. We find ourselves in a position to do so. We find ourselves in a position to do so. We find ourselves in a position to do so.

Aug. 20 (Bloomberg) -- Sweden's central bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points to lower its benchmark rate to 3.50 percent from 3.75 percent, in line with market expectations, after it halted cuts in June after cutting rates in May. This Friday, Aug. 23, local time, during the annual central bank meeting in Jackson Hole, Wyo! Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will deliver a major speech that will be watched globally. Wall Street expects that Powell will use this opportunity to confirm that the Fed is going to cut interest rates, and the focus of the debate among stock traders has changed from whether the Fed will or will not cut interest rates to how drastically the Fed will cut.

Local time on August 15, the U.S. Treasury Department released data showing that in June 2024, the top three overseas debtors of U.S. debt, Japan, China and the United Kingdom holdings diverged: Japan reduced its holdings, China and the United Kingdom to increase their holdings. The U.S. Treasury Department's June 2024 International Capital Flows Report ((TIC) shows that Japan reduced its holdings of U.S. Treasuries by $10.6 billion in June, with a position of $1,117.7 billion, still the first day of U.S. debtors. As the second largest overseas debtor of U.S. Treasury bonds, China reduced its holdings of U.S. debt by $18.6 billion in January 2024, and opened the “three consecutive declines in the same year in February and March, respectively, reduced holdings of $22.7 billion, $7.6 billion in U.S. debt, in April, it was an increase of 3.3 billion U.S. dollars in U.S. debt, for 2024 for the first time to increase the position.

On Tuesday, August 13, the U.S. Department of Labor released PPI data for July, with a lower-than-expected rise in the PPI indicating that inflation continues to moderate, adding ammunition to the argument in favor of the Federal Reserve's rate cuts starting in September. Among them, the July PPI was 2.2% year-on-year, the previous value was revised from 2.60% to 2.7%, 2.30% expected, 0.1% YoY, 0.20% expected, 0.20% YoY, 0.20% YoY, 0.20% expected, 0.40% YoY, 0% YoY, 0.20% expected, 0.40% YoY, after exclusion of food and energy, the core PPI was 2.4% year-on-year, 2.7% expected, 3.00% YoY, 0% YoY, 0.20% expected, 0.40% YoY, after exclusion of food and energy. According to the CME “Fed Watch”, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 46%, the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 54%, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by a cumulative total of 50 basis points by November is 29.6%, the probability of a cumulative total of 75 basis points of interest rate cuts is 51.2%, and the probability of a cumulative total of 100 basis points of interest rate cuts is 19.2%.

On Monday evening, Aug. 13, local time, former U.S. President Donald Trump engaged in a live conversation with Tesla CEO Elon Musk on the X platform. Musk offered himself a role in helping to cut federal spending during Trump's second term in office. This seems to indicate that the world's richest man, is increasingly integrating himself into American politics. Musk has called for the creation of a government commission to ensure that taxpayer money is spent effectively, and said he would like to play a role in the process. Musk said "I'd be happy to help on such a commission if it's formed." Trump praised Musk for the idea.

Berkshire Hathaway's holdings of short-term US Treasury bonds have reached $234.6 billion, even surpassing the Federal Reserve, which is once again seen by market participants as a reason for concern about the US economic recession, as the "stock god" has said in the past that he would purchase short-term Treasury bonds during economic crises. In contrast, the Federal Reserve also holds only US $1953 billion of short-term treasury bonds and US $4.4 trillion of treasury bond, including long-term treasury bond, short-term bills and inflation linked securities. Before the global stock market suffered a "battle royale" this week, Buffett significantly reduced his holdings in many US stocks, including Apple, last quarter, selling for seven consecutive quarters and accelerating his selling in the second quarter, selling a total of $75 billion worth of stocks.