概要

• 📉 0.8956 以下のキーブレーク ： The USDCHF dropped below significant resistance levels, including the 100-hour moving average, previous highs, and a trendline support level. Staying below keeps the sellers more in control in the short term. .
• 💡 抵抗とサポート分析 ： A critical swing area (0.8986 to 0.9017) was identified as resistance that held at the highs yesterday and today. That area helped to stall the rise and reverse the short term bias today. On the downside, levels near 0.8913 to 0.8923 serve as short-term support.
• 🧩 経済データの影響 ： U.S. Core PCE data was weaker than expected, influencing the USDCHF downward movement.
• 🔄 販売者制御： Sellers maintain momentum while the price stays below 0.8956, with potential targets near the 200-hour moving average.

数字に基づく洞察

• 0.8956 ： This level acts as a pivot; staying below it signals bearish momentum.
• 0.8913 — 0.8923： Potential support zone for price reversal or consolidation.
• コア PCE は 0.1% （ 予想 0.2% 対 ） 。 Indicates softer economic conditions, putting pressure on the USD.

EURUSD 、 USDJPY 、 GBPUSD のテクニカルな見方については、本日の KICKSTART ビデオをご覧ください。

EURUSD

• 📉 キーレベル： Found resistance at 1.0424; critical support at 1.0332 (November low).
• 🔄 スイングポイント： Price hovered around the 50% retracement level at 1.0405 but failed to break above it.
• 📊 ダウンサイドバイアス： A break below 1.0332 signals a continuation of the bearish trend, potentially revisiting December 2022 levels.

USDJPY

• 📈 抵抗ゾーン： Swing highs between 157.66 and 158.41 were tested.
• 🔄 キーピボット： Price fluctuates around 156.74; staying above signals upside momentum, while dropping below suggests a return to 155.88.
• 🗣️ 市場影響： Verbal intervention by Japanese officials caused mixed momentum, reflecting uncertain market sentiment.

GBPUSD

• 📉 最近のドロップ： Fell after the Bank of England’s dovish decision.
• 🔄 スイングレベル： Hovered near 1.25237 with potential to break toward 1.25655 if upward momentum builds.
• 🛑 ダウンサイドリスク ： A break below 1.2423 could push it to April’s low near 1.23.