The USDCAD broke below its 200-日移動平均 for the first time since October 2024 last week. That key technical level, currently at 1.3999 (effectively 1.4000), marked a significant shift in bias when breached. The move lower drove the pair into a familiar 1.3843 と 1.3898 の間のスイングエリア (rounded to 1.3900), which has been a key zone of interest in the past.

昨日、ペアはリバウンドする前に、その範囲の下限を下回った。今日、それは上端をわずかに上回ったが、トレーダーが次の方向性触媒を待つため、ゾーンの真ん中に後退しています。

A 1.3900 を上回るブレイク could see the pair target the 61.8% リトレース of the September 2024 rally at 1.3943, followed by a retest of the 200-1 日 MA 1.4000. Conversely, a 1.3843 を下回る動き would likely invite further selling pressure, pushing the pair into a broader consolidation zone. That area defined price action between 2022 年 8 月、 2024 年 11 月 before the breakout, suggesting potential for more choppy, range-bound trading if downside support gives way.

1.4（ .4000 レベル