Before the ADP announcement, the probability that the Fed would keep interest rates unchanged in March was 83.5%."
According to online reports, according to CME's "Federal Reserve Observation", the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 83.5%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 16.5%. The probability of keeping current interest rates unchanged by May is 59.1%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points is 36.1%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 50 basis points is 4.8%.
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